Thursday, February 28, 2013
Wednesday, February 27, 2013
Monday, February 25, 2013
Current Elephant Scan
Current Elephant Scan
Posted Tuesday, February 19, 2013 at 5:36 PM
Not sure where everyone is with current elephant opportunities but I have seen quite a list of candidates:
- CTRX is one I think is being most discussed since JC brought it up. Still in weekly and daily squeeze with EPS 2/28.
- LOPE )if you are not in this one it may be too late as stock up 6+% after earnings
- LULU in a weekly squeeze but not daily
- NFP (out of both weekly and daily squeeze) after earnings
- CL is in daily squeeze but just out of weekly squeeze and all time high
- NNN (too late as it is out of weekly squeeze 3 weeks ago)
- AWK (out of weekly squeeze now)
- PIR (looks too late if you are not in with weekly squeeze 4 weeks ago)
- NRGM in weekly squeeze but not daily
- PII in weekly squeeze but not daily
- LL has been out of weekly squeeze for 3 weeks
- CRBL in both a weekly and daily squeeze with earnings on 2/26
- CTAS just out of the weekly squeeze and 2 days out of the daily
- ULTA bombed
Does anyone have a more updated list/scan that the group can use and keep track of? These are just some of the names I saw mentioned in this forum.
Friday, February 22, 2013
Friday, February 15, 2013
HLF = Herblife (half life?)
Icahn Ups Stakes in Ackman Feud With Herbalife Holding
By Duane D. Stanford & Miles Weiss - Feb 15, 2013 4:09 PM ET
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Billionaire investor Carl Icahn took a 13 percent holding in Herbalife Ltd. and said he would seek talks with the nutritional-supplements company, raising the stakes in a public dispute with rival hedge-fund manager Bill Ackman over whether the company is a legitimate business.
Icahn, 76, said strategic alternatives for Herbalife may include taking it private, according to a filing yesterday with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in which he reported his stake. Herbalife rose 1.2 percent after gaining as much as 17 percent earlier.
The Herbalife Ltd. logo is displayed outside of the company's corporate headquarters in Torrance, California. Bill Ackman joined Greenlight Capital Re Ltd. Chairman David Einhorn last year in raising questions about Herbalife. Photographer: Patrick Fallon/Bloomberg
4:46
Feb. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Julie Hyman and Stephanie Ruhle report on the latest in Bill Ackman and Carl Icahn's battle over Herbalife. They speak on Bloomberg Television's "In The Loop."
10:34
Feb. 15 (Bloomberg) -- Robert Chapman, founder of Chapman Capital LLC, talks about the battle between Bill Ackman and Carl Icahn over Herbalife Ltd. and his investment strategy for the shares. Icahn reported a 13 percent stake in Herbalife yesterday, a disclosure that came almost two months after Ackman said he had sold short 20 million shares of the nutritional supplements company. Chapman speaks with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television's "Money Moves." (Source: Bloomberg)
16:56
Jan. 24 (Bloomberg) -- Billionaire investor Carl Icahn talks about the performance of Netflix Inc. and CVR Energy Inc., and hedge-fund manager William Ackman's $1 billion bet that shares of Herbalife Ltd. would decline. Icahn speaks with Trish Regan on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart." (Source: Bloomberg)
3:05
Feb. 15 (Bloomberg) -- David Balto, antitrust attorney and former policy director at the Federal Trade Commission, talks about the FTC's position on Herbalife Ltd., which William Ackman of Pershing Square Capital alleges is a pyramid scheme. Balto speaks with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television's "Lunch Money." (Source: Bloomberg)
Herbalife Ltd. products are arranged for a photograph in New York. Herbalife executives and consultants hit back on Jan. 10, arguing that all of Herbalife’s payments to distributors are tied to product sales and the company’s accounting practices are legal. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg
Carl Icahn, billionaire investor and chairman of Icahn Enterprises Holdings LP, seen on March 27, 2012, said in the filing that Herbalife “has a legitimate business model, with favorable long-term opportunities for growth” and that the shares are undervalued. Photographer: Scott Eells/Bloomberg
Further stock purchases or going private may increase Herbalife’s share price and put pressure on Ackman, who disclosed in December that his Pershing Square Capital Management LP had sold short 20 million shares of Herbalife, calling the company a pyramid scheme. Icahn, reviving a decade- old feud in an interview with Bloomberg Television last month, has said Ackman, 46, was “disingenuous” and his trade may become the “mother of all short squeezes.”
“The bigger the short position, the more enticing it is,” Icahn said today during an interview on CNBC. “The fact that you have a major short position is one of the indices I look at” in buying a stock.
Short Squeeze
In a short sale, an investor borrows stock and then sells the shares in anticipation of returning them at a lower price in the future. A short squeeze occurs when other investors begin buying the same stock, pushing its price up and forcing the short seller to buy back the shares, possibly at a loss.
Herbalife pared gains after Icahn’s comments today and as Robert Chapman, another hedge fund manager who had bought Herbalife stock, said he had sold his position. Chapman, speaking today in an interview with Deirdre Bolton on Bloomberg Television’s “Money Moves,” said he sold his stake as the shares soared last yesterday and today, exiting at prices ranging between $47 and $49 a share. Chapman said he would reinvest should Ackman’s effort to spark an investigation of Herbalife push the stock back into the “thirties.”
Ackman first disclosed his bet against Herbalife on Dec. 19 and a day later appeared at a Sohn Investment Conference in New York, accusing Herbalife of using inflated pricing, misleading sales information and a complicated incentive structure to hide a pyramid scheme. The stock has dropped 8.9 percent since Dec. 18, to $38.74.
Not ‘Sorry’
Herbalife executives and consultants hit back on Jan. 10, arguing that all of Herbalife’s payments to distributors are tied to product sales and the company’s accounting practices are legal.
Icahn said in the CNBC interview that his decision to invest in Herbalife was driven by the opportunity to make money, not a personal vendetta against Ackman, his opponent in a seven- year-plus legal battle over a $4.5 million claim.
“I’m not going to lie to you and say, ‘If Ackman gets squeezed, I will feel very sorry’,” Icahn said today. “But that is not the reason I am doing this.”
Icahn said that Herbalife is at the center of a “paradigm shift” in which people are becoming more concerned about nutrition and obesity. Its multilevel marketing approach provides an effective way to sell products in countries that don’t have the retail infrastructure of the U.S., Icahn said, adding that the Internet makes it easier for Herbalife representatives to reach potential customers.
Legitimate Business
Ackman in an interview questioned whether Icahn’s investment is just for show, adding that shareholders who own Herbalife stock will lose money. On Feb. 7, Ackman renewed his thesis on Herbalife in a detailed 40-page treatise questioning everything from the company’s sales accounting to claims that it makes millionaires.
U.S. regulators at the Federal Trade Commission and the SEC have declined to say whether they are investigating Herbalife or intend to do so.
Herbalife has repeatedly denied Ackman’s accusation that it is a pyramid scheme.
Ackman built a “very deep Rolodex” of contacts among state and federal regulators through a prior bet against MBIA Inc., Chapman said today. “All he needs is just one of those guys” to start an investigation, Chapman said, and it will make it “look like Ackman will win.” Chapman predicted that Ackman’s strategy will eventually fail though.
Ackman’s Price
Ackman began shorting Herbalife shares in May, according to investors, and disclosed the trade on Dec. 19. In that period, Herbalife shares traded at an average price of $48.58 each, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Icahn, who didn’t respond to a telephone request for comment, purchased about 1.6 million Herbalife shares between Dec. 20 and Dec. 24, according to the filing. After first challenging Ackman’s strategy in a Jan. 24 interview with Bloomberg Television, he resumed building the stake. On Jan. 28 and Jan. 29, Icahn acquired another 3.6 million shares and options. He purchased the remainder of his stake, comprised of 2.47 million shares and options on another 11.54 million, through yesterday, according to the document.
Ackman’s wager had already put him at odds with Daniel Loeb, founder of Third Point LLC. Three weeks after Ackman disclosed his bet against Herbalife, Third Point reported in a regulatory filing that it had bought 8.9 million of the company’s shares, an 8.2 percent stake.
To contact the reporters on this story: Duane D. Stanford in Atlanta at dstanford2@bloomberg.net; Miles Weiss in Washington at mweiss@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Christian Baumgaertel at cbaumgaertel@bloomberg.net; Robin Ajello at rajello@bloomberg.net
Thursday, February 14, 2013
Wednesday, February 13, 2013
thinkorswim Canada almost ready to accept new clients
on September 28, 2012 in Blog, Broker Buzz Leave a comment
One of the best rated stock and options trading platforms, thinkorswim, looks like it will be opening its doors again for Canadian investors. From various conversations with TD Waterhouse discount brokerage representatives, traders and investors alike, regaining access to the thinkorswim platform for Canadian discount brokerage clients has been widely anticipated. Finally, it seems that there is a definitive timeframe that has been provided for a roll out to new clients.
It appears that thinkorswim is in the midst of a technical upgrade but sometime in October they should be back to accepting Canadian clients. Since thinkorswim Canada is owned by TD Waterhouse discount brokerage, you’ll have to be a client of TD Waterhouse to gain access to the thinkorswim platform. Specifically, only US dollar personal margin account or corporate accounts will be able to use thinkorswim and trading will be limited to US stocks and options.
Additional conditions include a minimum account opening amount of $10,000 and minimum trading activity of 30 trades per quarter. Trade commissions will be charged at $9.99 flat fee for stock trades and $9.99 +$1.25/contract for options trading. Option assignments will cost $15 flat. Interestingly, there are currently no platform fees for thinkorswim.
To find out more information on the platform or to download a free trial of their software (a great ‘try before you buy’ feature) you can visit the thinkorswim Canada page here.
http://www.sparxtrading.com/blog/thinkorswim-canada-ready-accept-clients/